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Hugh Mann, Founder & Director's avatar

Excellent work, Patrick. Well-researched, this post makes many valid points.

You have rightly displayed the central theme with all its warts: that cryptocurrencies represent an arms race. History shows us that every arms race has no finish line, with successive technologies leapfrogging to a transitory dominance. I absolutely agree that the human race must look to constantly innovate, rather than shackle itself to a single technology forged at a single point in time.

That said, and whilst I consider myself a tonsured, sandal-wearing novice in cryptocurrencies, I would still challenge two premises: (i) that BTC is a currency to be used for commerce, and (ii) that a well-funded attacker could take over more than 50% of the network’s total hash rate.

As for the first, I see BTC as an asset class (albeit one that is rapidly becoming a dinosaur) and not a currency. For this reason, arguments around transaction speeds become less relevant, as people and companies HODL to prevent their past time being stolen through time-travelling fiat printing machines.

As for well-funded attackers, I would love to see how well funded the attacker(s) would have to be. There may a natural barrier to entry, in the absence of collusion by superpowers or megabanks, and we all know there is much precedent for such collusion. Still, I like to see the numbers.

Brilliant piece here - thanks so much for writing it! I learned a lot. I would love to see you debate GMoney or Michael Saylor or any of the other die-hard maxis. Seems like they could learn a lot, too.

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Anna Iversen's avatar

On the issue of privacy, I'd like to refer you to section 10 of Satoshi Nakamoto's white paper: 'The traditional banking model achieves a level of privacy by limiting access to information to the parties involved and the trusted third party. The necessity to announce all transactions publicly precludes this method, but privacy can still be maintained by breaking the flow of information in another place: by keeping public keys anonymous. The public can see that someone is sending an amount to someone else, but without information linking the transaction to anyone. This is similar to the level of information released by stock exchanges, where the time and size of individual trades, the "tape", is made public, but without telling who the parties were.' Looking forward to talking! Thanks for all your great work!

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